Bitcoin above $100k on Dec 31?
Yes 74¢
No 26¢
Prediction market infrastructure
Prediction markets. Your brand.
Launch your own prediction market platform, backed by Probable’s development, regulatory advisory, and market intelligence.
Work with us
Try the onboarding demo Desktop only
- Theme roles per platform
- 14
- Divisions, one team
- 3
- White-label, end to end
- 100%
probable. Demo
PriceSize
- 78¢4,210
- 77¢2,860
- 76¢7,390
- 75¢1,540
74¢Yes · last
- 74¢5,120
- 73¢3,380
- 72¢8,670
- 71¢2,240
Recent fills
- Buy Yes1,20074¢
- Buy No64026¢
- Buy Yes2,05073¢
Fed cuts rates by September?
Yes 58¢
No 42¢
English club wins the Champions League?
Yes 52¢
No 48¢
Bitcoin above $100k on Dec 31? 74¢ ▼1 Fed cuts rates by September? 58¢ ▼1 English club wins the Champions League? 52¢ ▼2 S&P 500 record close this quarter? 41¢ ▼1 CPI below 3% for Q3? 33¢ ▼1 New frontier model tops the leaderboard in 30 days? 61¢ ▼1 100+ orbital launches this half? 84¢ ▼1 Streaming debut passes 1B hours in 28 days? 22¢ ▲3
Who it’s for
One platform. Four ways in.
Whether you’re expanding an existing platform or starting something new, build around the audience you want to serve.
Brokers & exchanges
Expand your trading offering with markets built around real-world outcomes.
Financials S&P 500 record close this quarter? 41¢
Sports & gaming operators
Explore event-based trading for an audience that already follows every result.
Sports English club wins the Champions League? 52¢
Fintech platforms
Build a new trading experience around the customers and brand you already have.
Economics Fed cuts rates by September? 58¢
New market operators
Bring a new market to life with product, technical, and operational support.
Science 100+ orbital launches this half? 84¢
The opportunity
Turn real-world events into your next offering. Markets your audience already follows, under your brand, run with a team that understands the whole market.
Give customers more reasons to return.
Markets tied to sports, economics, and culture make real-world events part of your product experience.
Develop a new line of business.
Explore a trading offering with market selection, fees, and operations shaped around your commercial goals.
Build with a team across the whole market.
Connect platform development with regulatory advisory and market intelligence from the outset.
Capabilities
Everything behind your next market.
From the first trade to daily operations, scope the platform and support your business needs.
Matching & trading engine
Give traders a place to price and trade outcomes, with order books and settlement for binary and multi-outcome markets.
Compliance integrations
Plan identity checks, jurisdiction controls, and audit trails around your operating requirements.
White-label web & mobile
Bring your brand to the trading experience across web and mobile, with a consistent interface for your users.
Liquidity & market operations
Plan market creation, liquidity, pricing oversight, and resolution workflows before your first market opens.
Data & analytics
Use market histories and trading activity to inform your product and market strategy.
Exchange integrations
Scope venue connectivity and data requirements around your platform, markets, and operating model.
White-label
Make the market your own.
Your identity belongs in every part of the experience. Try four sample brands on the same market, then explore the operator onboarding demo.
Walk through operator onboarding
Interactive demo · desktop recommended
Bitcoin above $100k on Dec 31?
Yes 74¢
No 26¢
Probable Faithful Our own board, in our own colors.
How we deliver
A clear path from idea to launch.
A shared plan, with responsibilities agreed at every stage.
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Define your market
You bring the audience and business goals. Together, we scope the markets, regulatory path, and platform requirements.
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Build your platform
We configure the experience and develop the integrations. Your team supplies brand assets and access to existing systems.
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Prepare to operate
Test the trading flows, review controls, and agree on liquidity and resolution procedures before launch.
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Launch and grow
Go live with an agreed support plan, then use market activity and customer feedback to guide what comes next.
The Probable advantage
A platform is only part of the picture.
Building a market takes technology, regulatory context, and an understanding of how markets operate. Probable brings those disciplines together.
FAQ
Before you build.
A few practical questions about working with Probable.
Can we use our own brand?
Yes. Probable builds white-label prediction market experiences around your brand. The interactive preview above shows how the same market can take on different visual identities. Your wider product requirements are agreed during scoping.
Can this connect to our existing platform?
We scope integrations around your current systems, including identity checks, user accounts, and venue connectivity. The first step is to review your architecture and agree on what needs to connect.
How long does a launch take?
The timeline depends on your markets, integrations, regulatory requirements, and the extent of the build. We agree on scope and a delivery plan before development starts.
How are liquidity and market resolution handled?
Liquidity arrangements, pricing oversight, and market resolution are part of the operating plan. We define these with you during scoping, based on the markets and venues involved.
What about licensing and regulation?
Requirements depend on your jurisdiction and operating model. Probable Solutions supports regulatory strategy and advisory; the technology itself does not grant a license or approval to operate.
Work with us
Your next market starts here.
Tell us about your audience and the platform you want to build. We’ll map out the scope, integrations, and next steps together.